Aggressive Growth Portfolio Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PAGHX Fund  USD 133.59  0.23  0.17%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0777, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aggressive Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aggressive Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aggressive Growth Portfolio are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical indicators, Aggressive Growth may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Expense Ratio Date30th of May 2025
Expense Ratio2.2100
  

Aggressive Growth Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,003  in Aggressive Growth Portfolio on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,356  from holding Aggressive Growth Portfolio or generate 11.3% return on investment over 90 days. Aggressive Growth Portfolio is currently producing 0.188% returns and takes up 1.1412% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Aggressive, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aggressive Growth is expected to generate 1.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Aggressive Growth Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
133.59
Please note that Aggressive Growth's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Aggressive Growth shows a prevailing Real Value of $121.37 per share. The current price of the fund is $133.59. We determine the value of Aggressive Growth from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Aggressive Growth is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Aggressive Mutual Fund. However, Aggressive Growth's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  133.59 Real  121.37 Hype  133.59 Naive  134.21
The intrinsic value of Aggressive Growth's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Aggressive Growth's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
120.23
Downside
121.37
Real Value
146.95
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aggressive Growth Portfolio helps investors to forecast how Aggressive mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aggressive Growth more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aggressive Growth's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.55133.11174.67
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
132.45133.59134.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
133.06134.21135.35
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Aggressive Growth Portfolio extending back to May 31, 2016. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Aggressive Growth stands at 133.59, as last reported on the 20th of February, with the highest price reaching 133.59 and the lowest price hitting 133.59 during the day.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Aggressive Growth Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aggressive Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 133.59 90 days 133.59 
about 20.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aggressive Growth to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.35 (This Aggressive Growth Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Aggressive Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aggressive Growth has a beta of 0.0777 indicating as returns on the market go up, Aggressive Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aggressive Growth Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aggressive Growth Portfolio has an alpha of 0.0962, implying that it can generate a 0.0962 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aggressive Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aggressive Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aggressive Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
132.45133.59134.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
120.23121.37146.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
133.06134.21135.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.55133.11174.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aggressive Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aggressive Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aggressive Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aggressive Growth.

Aggressive Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aggressive Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aggressive Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aggressive Growth Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aggressive Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
5.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Aggressive Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aggressive Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aggressive Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.36% of its assets in stocks

Aggressive Growth Fundamentals Growth

Aggressive Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aggressive Growth, and Aggressive Growth fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aggressive Mutual Fund performance.

About Aggressive Growth Performance

Evaluating Aggressive Growth's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Aggressive Growth has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aggressive Growth has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in stocks and stock warrants of U.S. and foreign companies that are expected to have a higher profit potential than the stock market as a whole and whose shares are valued primarily for potential growth in revenues, earnings, dividends or asset values rather than for current income.

Things to note about Aggressive Growth performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aggressive Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Aggressive Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.36% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Aggressive Growth's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aggressive Growth's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Aggressive Growth's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aggressive Growth's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aggressive Growth's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aggressive Growth's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aggressive Growth's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aggressive Growth's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Aggressive Growth's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aggressive Growth's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aggressive Growth's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Aggressive Mutual Fund

Aggressive Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aggressive Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aggressive with respect to the benefits of owning Aggressive Growth security.
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